Postmatch editorial

The scoreboard moved against the market favourite

The final score was Hércules 2-4 La Nucia after penalties. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

The decisive turn arrived late when José Romera scored 119' for La Nucia.

The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: La Nucia led Total shots 8-10. La Nucia also shaded Shots on target 5-6.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Hércules the favourite at 39.8% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Hércules

39.8%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Total shots

La Nucia

Hércules

La Nucia

8

10

Shots on target

La Nucia

Hércules

La Nucia

5

6

Possession

La Nucia

Hércules

La Nucia

47%

53%