Postmatch editorial

The prices said close and the pitch agreed

The final score was Heracles Almelo 1-1 Excelsior. The draw was not the loudest pre-match angle, but the game never fully escaped its balance.

Sem Scheperman  put the first mark on the match 23', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Heracles Almelo led Corners 6-1, even though the scoreboard went another way. Excelsior also shaded Total shots 13-15.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Excelsior the favourite at 38.5% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Excelsior

38.5%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Corners

Heracles Almelo

Heracles Almelo

Excelsior

6

1

Total shots

Excelsior

Heracles Almelo

Excelsior

13

15

Shots on target

Heracles Almelo

Excelsior

4

4