Postmatch editorial

Ascoli flipped the prices on their head

The final score was Hellas Verona 1-2 Ascoli. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Hellas Verona struck first through Samuele Mulattieri 21', but Ascoli recovered and flipped the match.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Hellas Verona led Shots on target 7-3, even though the scoreboard went another way. Hellas Verona also shaded Total shots 24-10.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Hellas Verona the favourite at 59.0% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Hellas Verona

59.0%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

Hellas Verona

Hellas Verona

Ascoli

7

3

Total shots

Hellas Verona

Hellas Verona

Ascoli

24

10

Corners

Hellas Verona

Hellas Verona

Ascoli

5

4