Postmatch editorial

Haverfordwest County flipped the prices on their head

The final score was Haverfordwest County 1-0 Skendija 79 after extra time. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

The decisive turn arrived late when Lee Jenkins scored 89' for Haverfordwest County.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Skendija 79 led Shots on target 2-3, even though the scoreboard went another way. Skendija 79 also shaded Total shots 7-11.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Skendija 79 the favourite at 73.8% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Skendija 79

73.8%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

Skendija 79

Haverfordwest County

Skendija 79

2

3

Total shots

Skendija 79

Haverfordwest County

Skendija 79

7

11

Possession

Haverfordwest County

Haverfordwest County

Skendija 79

58%

42%