Postmatch editorial

The scoreboard moved against the market favourite

The final score was Hartberg 3-2 Ried. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Marco Hoffmann put the first mark on the match 6', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Ried led Possession 41%-59%, even though the scoreboard went another way. Hartberg also shaded Shots on target 5-4.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Ried the favourite at 44.2% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Ried

44.2%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Possession

Ried

Hartberg

Ried

41%

59%

Shots on target

Hartberg

Hartberg

Ried

5

4

Total shots

Ried

Hartberg

Ried

14

17