Postmatch editorial

NSÍ upset the pre-match prices

The final score was Hamrun Spartans 1-2 NSÍ. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

The decisive turn arrived late when Petur Knudsen scored 90+4' for NSÍ.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Hamrun Spartans led Possession 55%-45%, even though the scoreboard went another way. NSÍ also shaded Corners 6-7.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Hamrun Spartans the favourite at 65.4% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Hamrun Spartans

65.4%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Possession

Hamrun Spartans

Hamrun Spartans

NSÍ

55%

45%

Corners

NSÍ

Hamrun Spartans

NSÍ

6

7