Postmatch editorial

AIK flipped the prices on their head

The final score was Hammarby 1-2 AIK. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Hammarby struck first through Ibrahima Fofana 48', but AIK recovered and flipped the match.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Hammarby led Total shots 19-11, even though the scoreboard went another way. Hammarby also shaded Corners 5-4.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Hammarby the favourite at 69.0% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Hammarby

69.0%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Total shots

Hammarby

Hammarby

AIK

19

11

Corners

Hammarby

Hammarby

AIK

5

4

Possession

Hammarby

Hammarby

AIK

52%

48%