Postmatch editorial

TSG Hoffenheim made the pre-match prices look right

The final score was Hamburger SV 1-2 TSG Hoffenheim. The median bookmaker prices were already leaning toward that outcome.

Fisnik Asllani put the first mark on the match 18', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: TSG Hoffenheim led Shots on target 4-6. TSG Hoffenheim also shaded Corners 4-9.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made TSG Hoffenheim the favourite at 59.2% implied probability. That market lean landed.

Market check

Market result

TSG Hoffenheim

59.2%

Hit
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

TSG Hoffenheim

Hamburger SV

TSG Hoffenheim

4

6

Corners

TSG Hoffenheim

Hamburger SV

TSG Hoffenheim

4

9

Possession

TSG Hoffenheim

Hamburger SV

TSG Hoffenheim

41%

59%