Hamburger SV
Game ended in draw.
1 - 1
FT
FC Köln
Postmatch editorial
Neither side managed to pull the match clear
The final score was Hamburger SV 1-1 FC Köln. The draw was not the loudest pre-match angle, but the game never fully escaped its balance.
Fábio Vieira put the first mark on the match 39', setting the tone for the rest of the night.
The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: FC Köln led Corners 1-8, even though the scoreboard went another way. FC Köln also shaded Shots on target 1-2.
Before kickoff, our model made Hamburger SV the likeliest result at 44.9%, while the median bookmaker line priced Hamburger SV at 42.8% implied. On BTTS, the model leaned Yes (54.3%), and that angle landed.
Prediction checks
Model result
Hamburger SV
44.9%
Market result
Hamburger SV
42.8%
BTTS
Yes
54.3%
Key stats
Match numbers
Corners
FC KölnHamburger SV
FC Köln
1
8
Shots on target
FC KölnHamburger SV
FC Köln
1
2
Total shots
FC KölnHamburger SV
FC Köln
5
10
Value angle
No structured value bet was flagged before kickoff, so this one closed without a dedicated price angle.