Hamburger SV
Game ended in draw.
1 - 1
FT
FC Augsburg
Postmatch editorial
Neither side managed to pull the match clear
The final score was Hamburger SV 1-1 FC Augsburg. The draw was not the loudest pre-match angle, but the game never fully escaped its balance.
Arthur Chaves put the first mark on the match 22', setting the tone for the rest of the night.
The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Hamburger SV led Corners 9-2, even though the scoreboard went another way. Hamburger SV also shaded Shots on target 4-3.
Before kickoff, our model made Hamburger SV the likeliest result at 44.7%, while the median bookmaker line priced Hamburger SV at 41.7% implied. On BTTS, the model leaned Yes (55.5%), and that angle landed.
Prediction checks
Model result
Hamburger SV
44.7%
Market result
Hamburger SV
41.7%
BTTS
Yes
55.5%
Key stats
Match numbers
Corners
Hamburger SVHamburger SV
FC Augsburg
9
2
Shots on target
Hamburger SVHamburger SV
FC Augsburg
4
3
Possession
Hamburger SVHamburger SV
FC Augsburg
53%
47%
Value angle
No structured value bet was flagged before kickoff, so this one closed without a dedicated price angle.