Postmatch editorial
The scoreboard moved against the market favourite
The final score was Guadalajara 2-1 Ponferradina. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.
Dani Gallardo put the first mark on the match 11', setting the tone for the rest of the night.
The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Guadalajara led Possession 66%-33%. Guadalajara also shaded Total shots 14-9.
Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Ponferradina the favourite at 51.3% implied probability. That market lean missed.
Market check
Market result
Ponferradina
51.3%
Key stats
Match numbers
Possession
GuadalajaraGuadalajara
Ponferradina
66%
33%
Total shots
GuadalajaraGuadalajara
Ponferradina
14
9
Shots on target
GuadalajaraGuadalajara
Ponferradina
7
5