Postmatch editorial
The scoreboard moved against the market favourite
The final score was Guadalajara 1-0 Ceuta. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.
Alejandro Cañizo put the first mark on the match 44', setting the tone for the rest of the night.
The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Ceuta led Shots on target 1-2, even though the scoreboard went another way. Ceuta also shaded Corners 2-8.
Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Ceuta the favourite at 50.0% implied probability. That market lean missed.
Market check
Market result
Ceuta
50.0%
Key stats
Match numbers
Shots on target
CeutaGuadalajara
Ceuta
1
2
Corners
CeutaGuadalajara
Ceuta
2
8
Possession
CeutaGuadalajara
Ceuta
39%
61%