Postmatch editorial
The market favourite delivered for Grêmio
The final score was Grêmio 2-1 São Paulo. The median bookmaker prices were already leaning toward that outcome.
São Paulo struck first through Marcos Antônio 45+2', but Grêmio recovered and flipped the match.
The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: São Paulo led Total shots 12-19, even though the scoreboard went another way. Grêmio also shaded Shots on target 5-4.
Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Grêmio the favourite at 43.5% implied probability. That market lean landed.
Market check
Market result
Grêmio
43.5%
Key stats
Match numbers
Total shots
São PauloGrêmio
São Paulo
12
19
Shots on target
GrêmioGrêmio
São Paulo
5
4
Possession
São PauloGrêmio
São Paulo
48%
52%