Postmatch editorial
Grêmio made the pre-match prices look right
The final score was Grêmio 3-1 Chapecoense. The median bookmaker prices were already leaning toward that outcome.
Chapecoense struck first through Maurício Garcez 15', but Grêmio recovered and flipped the match.
The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Chapecoense led Total shots 12-32, even though the scoreboard went another way. Chapecoense also shaded Shots on target 5-9.
Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Grêmio the favourite at 64.9% implied probability. That market lean landed.
Market check
Market result
Grêmio
64.9%
Key stats
Match numbers
Total shots
ChapecoenseGrêmio
Chapecoense
12
32
Shots on target
ChapecoenseGrêmio
Chapecoense
5
9
Corners
ChapecoenseGrêmio
Chapecoense
5
7