Postmatch editorial

The scoreboard moved against the market favourite

The final score was Grays Athletic 1-4 Witham Town. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

The decisive turn arrived late when Witham Town scored 90+2' for Witham Town.

The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Witham Town led Corners 3-7. Witham Town also shaded Shots on target 6-8.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Grays Athletic the favourite at 43.5% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Grays Athletic

43.5%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Corners

Witham Town

Grays Athletic

Witham Town

3

7

Shots on target

Witham Town

Grays Athletic

Witham Town

6

8

Possession

Grays Athletic

Grays Athletic

Witham Town

51%

49%