Postmatch editorial

Glentoran upset the pre-match prices

The final score was Glentoran 1-0 HB. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Robbie McDaid put the first mark on the match 42', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: HB led Shots on target 2-3, even though the scoreboard went another way. HB also shaded Total shots 7-11.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made HB the favourite at 40.8% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

HB

40.8%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

HB

Glentoran

HB

2

3

Total shots

HB

Glentoran

HB

7

11

Corners

HB

Glentoran

HB

5

9