Postmatch editorial

The scoreboard moved against the market favourite

The final score was Gjilani 0-2 Progrès Niedercorn. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

The decisive turn arrived late when Walid Jarmouni scored 90+1' for Progrès Niedercorn.

The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Progrès Niedercorn led Shots on target 1-2. Gjilani also shaded Corners 7-5.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Gjilani the favourite at 44.4% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Gjilani

44.4%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

Progrès Niedercorn

Gjilani

Progrès Niedercorn

1

2

Corners

Gjilani

Gjilani

Progrès Niedercorn

7

5

Total shots

Gjilani

Gjilani

Progrès Niedercorn

9

8