Postmatch editorial

The scoreboard moved against the market favourite

The final score was Gimnasia La Plata 2-3 Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

The decisive turn arrived late when Agustín Módica scored 76' for Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Gimnasia La Plata led Corners 6-1, even though the scoreboard went another way. Gimnasia La Plata also shaded Possession 57%-43%.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Gimnasia La Plata the favourite at 54.9% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Gimnasia La Plata

54.9%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Corners

Gimnasia La Plata

Gimnasia La Plata

Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza

6

1

Possession

Gimnasia La Plata

Gimnasia La Plata

Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza

57%

43%

Shots on target

Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza

Gimnasia La Plata

Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza

5

6