Postmatch editorial
The scoreboard moved against the market favourite
The final score was Gimnasia La Plata 2-3 Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.
The decisive turn arrived late when Agustín Módica scored 76' for Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza.
The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Gimnasia La Plata led Corners 6-1, even though the scoreboard went another way. Gimnasia La Plata also shaded Possession 57%-43%.
Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Gimnasia La Plata the favourite at 54.9% implied probability. That market lean missed.
Market check
Market result
Gimnasia La Plata
54.9%
Match numbers
Corners
Gimnasia La PlataGimnasia La Plata
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza
6
1
Possession
Gimnasia La PlataGimnasia La Plata
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza
57%
43%
Shots on target
Gimnasia y Esgrima MendozaGimnasia La Plata
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza
5
6