Postmatch editorial

Vitória Guimarães upset the pre-match prices

The final score was Gil Vicente 0-1 Vitória Guimarães. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Gustavo Silva put the first mark on the match 66', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Gil Vicente led Shots on target 6-3, even though the scoreboard went another way. Gil Vicente also shaded Corners 10-3.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Gil Vicente the favourite at 49.3% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Gil Vicente

49.3%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

Gil Vicente

Gil Vicente

Vitória Guimarães

6

3

Corners

Gil Vicente

Gil Vicente

Vitória Guimarães

10

3

Total shots

Gil Vicente

Gil Vicente

Vitória Guimarães

12

11