Postmatch editorial
Arouca upset the pre-match prices
The final score was Gil Vicente 1-3 Arouca. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.
The decisive turn arrived late when Taichi Fukui scored 82' for Arouca.
The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Gil Vicente led Corners 6-2, even though the scoreboard went another way. Arouca also shaded Shots on target 5-6.
Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Gil Vicente the favourite at 62.5% implied probability. That market lean missed.
Market check
Market result
Gil Vicente
62.5%
Key stats
Match numbers
Corners
Gil VicenteGil Vicente
Arouca
6
2
Shots on target
AroucaGil Vicente
Arouca
5
6
Possession
AroucaGil Vicente
Arouca
45%
55%