Postmatch editorial

AlbinoLeffe flipped the prices on their head

The final score was Giana Erminio 1-3 AlbinoLeffe. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

The decisive turn arrived late when Francesco Agnello scored 90' for AlbinoLeffe.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Giana Erminio led Shots on target 11-4, even though the scoreboard went another way. Giana Erminio also shaded Total shots 15-10.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Giana Erminio the favourite at 47.6% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Giana Erminio

47.6%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

Giana Erminio

Giana Erminio

AlbinoLeffe

11

4

Total shots

Giana Erminio

Giana Erminio

AlbinoLeffe

15

10

Possession

Giana Erminio

Giana Erminio

AlbinoLeffe

58%

42%