Postmatch editorial

Gernika Club made the pre-match prices look right

The final score was Gernika Club 1-0 Durango. The median bookmaker prices were already leaning toward that outcome.

The decisive turn arrived late when Gorka Larrucea scored 90' for Gernika Club.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Durango led Corners 5-6, even though the scoreboard went another way. Durango also shaded Possession 49%-51%.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Gernika Club the favourite at 49.0% implied probability. That market lean landed.

Market check

Market result

Gernika Club

49.0%

Hit
Key stats

Match numbers

Corners

Durango

Gernika Club

Durango

5

6

Possession

Durango

Gernika Club

Durango

49%

51%

Shots on target

Gernika Club

Durango

3

3