Postmatch editorial

Hednesford Town flipped the prices on their head

The final score was Gateshead 1-3 Hednesford Town. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Gateshead struck first through Owen Oseni 10', but Hednesford Town recovered and flipped the match.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Gateshead led Total shots 19-8, even though the scoreboard went another way. Gateshead also shaded Possession 73%-27%.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Gateshead the favourite at 87.7% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Gateshead

87.7%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Total shots

Gateshead

Gateshead

Hednesford Town

19

8

Possession

Gateshead

Gateshead

Hednesford Town

73%

27%

Shots on target

Gateshead

Gateshead

Hednesford Town

11

6