Postmatch editorial

Galatasaray upset the pre-match prices

The final score was Galatasaray 1-0 Liverpool. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Mario Lemina put the first mark on the match 7', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Liverpool led Shots on target 4-6, even though the scoreboard went another way. Galatasaray also shaded Corners 7-4.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Liverpool the favourite at 58.5% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Liverpool

58.5%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

Liverpool

Galatasaray

Liverpool

4

6

Corners

Galatasaray

Galatasaray

Liverpool

7

4

Possession

Liverpool

Galatasaray

Liverpool

46%

54%