Postmatch editorial
The scoreboard moved against the market favourite
The final score was FSV Mainz 05 2-3 Schalke 04. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.
The decisive turn arrived late when Marius Bülter scored 90+12' for Schalke 04.
The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Schalke 04 led Shots on target 4-10. Schalke 04 also shaded Total shots 10-16.
Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made FSV Mainz 05 the favourite at 59.5% implied probability. That market lean missed.
Market check
Market result
FSV Mainz 05
59.5%
Key stats
Match numbers
Shots on target
Schalke 04FSV Mainz 05
Schalke 04
4
10
Total shots
Schalke 04FSV Mainz 05
Schalke 04
10
16
Possession
FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05
Schalke 04
57%
43%