Postmatch editorial
SC Freiburg upset the pre-match prices
The final score was FSV Mainz 05 0-1 SC Freiburg. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.
Lucas Höler put the first mark on the match 47', setting the tone for the rest of the night.
The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: FSV Mainz 05 led Corners 6-4, even though the scoreboard went another way. FSV Mainz 05 also shaded Total shots 10-8.
Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made FSV Mainz 05 the favourite at 45.0% implied probability. That market lean missed.
Market check
Market result
FSV Mainz 05
45.0%
Key stats
Match numbers
Corners
FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05
SC Freiburg
6
4
Total shots
FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05
SC Freiburg
10
8
Possession
FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05
SC Freiburg
51%
49%