Postmatch editorial
The scoreboard moved against the market favourite
The final score was FSV Mainz 05 1-3 FC Union Berlin. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.
The decisive turn arrived late when Josip Juranovic scored 90+1' for FC Union Berlin.
The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: FC Union Berlin led Shots on target 4-9. FSV Mainz 05 also shaded Possession 53%-47%.
Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made FSV Mainz 05 the favourite at 59.5% implied probability. That market lean missed.
Market check
Market result
FSV Mainz 05
59.5%
Key stats
Match numbers
Shots on target
FC Union BerlinFSV Mainz 05
FC Union Berlin
4
9
Possession
FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05
FC Union Berlin
53%
47%
Corners
FC Union BerlinFSV Mainz 05
FC Union Berlin
7
8