Postmatch editorial

The scoreboard moved against the market favourite

The final score was Frosinone 0-1 Udinese. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

The decisive turn arrived late when Keinan Davis scored 76' for Udinese.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Frosinone led Corners 11-1, even though the scoreboard went another way. Frosinone also shaded Total shots 21-10.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Frosinone the favourite at 39.8% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Frosinone

39.8%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Corners

Frosinone

Frosinone

Udinese

11

1

Total shots

Frosinone

Frosinone

Udinese

21

10

Possession

Frosinone

Frosinone

Udinese

58%

42%