Postmatch editorial

Holstein Kiel flipped the prices on their head

The final score was Fortuna Düsseldorf 1-2 Holstein Kiel. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

The decisive turn arrived late when Ivan Nekic scored 79' for Holstein Kiel.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Fortuna Düsseldorf led Shots on target 5-3, even though the scoreboard went another way. Fortuna Düsseldorf also shaded Corners 7-3.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Fortuna Düsseldorf the favourite at 48.8% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Fortuna Düsseldorf

48.8%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

Fortuna Düsseldorf

Fortuna Düsseldorf

Holstein Kiel

5

3

Corners

Fortuna Düsseldorf

Fortuna Düsseldorf

Holstein Kiel

7

3

Total shots

Fortuna Düsseldorf

Fortuna Düsseldorf

Holstein Kiel

15

11