Postmatch editorial

The scoreboard moved against the market favourite

The final score was Fortuna Düsseldorf 2-5 Hertha BSC. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Fortuna Düsseldorf struck first through Linus Gechter 4', but Hertha BSC recovered and flipped the match.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Fortuna Düsseldorf led Corners 6-1, even though the scoreboard went another way. Hertha BSC also shaded Shots on target 5-9.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Fortuna Düsseldorf the favourite at 43.5% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Fortuna Düsseldorf

43.5%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Corners

Fortuna Düsseldorf

Fortuna Düsseldorf

Hertha BSC

6

1

Shots on target

Hertha BSC

Fortuna Düsseldorf

Hertha BSC

5

9

Possession

Fortuna Düsseldorf

Fortuna Düsseldorf

Hertha BSC

59%

41%