Postmatch editorial

Fortuna Düsseldorf upset the pre-match prices

The final score was Fortuna Düsseldorf 3-1 Elversberg. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Florian Le Joncour put the first mark on the match 26', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Elversberg led Total shots 9-17, even though the scoreboard went another way. Elversberg also shaded Corners 2-5.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Elversberg the favourite at 48.0% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Elversberg

48.0%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Total shots

Elversberg

Fortuna Düsseldorf

Elversberg

9

17

Corners

Elversberg

Fortuna Düsseldorf

Elversberg

2

5

Possession

Elversberg

Fortuna Düsseldorf

Elversberg

44%

56%