Postmatch editorial

Margate flipped the prices on their head

The final score was Folkestone Invicta 1-3 Margate. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Tyrone Sterling put the first mark on the match 19', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Folkestone Invicta led Corners 5-2, even though the scoreboard went another way. Folkestone Invicta also shaded Possession 60%-40%.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Folkestone Invicta the favourite at 64.5% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Folkestone Invicta

64.5%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Corners

Folkestone Invicta

Folkestone Invicta

Margate

5

2

Possession

Folkestone Invicta

Folkestone Invicta

Margate

60%

40%

Total shots

Margate

Folkestone Invicta

Margate

10

12