Postmatch editorial
Tre Fiori flipped the prices on their head
The final score was Fola Esch 0-1 Tre Fiori. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.
The decisive turn arrived late when Joel Núñez scored 85' for Tre Fiori.
The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Fola Esch led Shots on target 5-2, even though the scoreboard went another way. Fola Esch also shaded Total shots 11-4.
Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Fola Esch the favourite at 80.6% implied probability. That market lean missed.
Market check
Market result
Fola Esch
80.6%
Key stats
Match numbers
Shots on target
Fola EschFola Esch
Tre Fiori
5
2
Total shots
Fola EschFola Esch
Tre Fiori
11
4
Possession
Fola EschFola Esch
Tre Fiori
61%
39%