Postmatch editorial
The scoreboard moved against the market favourite
The final score was Fluminense 3-2 Palmeiras. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.
Palmeiras struck first through Gustavo Gómez 10', but Fluminense recovered and flipped the match.
The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Fluminense led Possession 60%-40%. Fluminense also shaded Total shots 17-15.
Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Palmeiras the favourite at 40.7% implied probability. That market lean missed.
Market check
Market result
Palmeiras
40.7%
Key stats
Match numbers
Possession
FluminenseFluminense
Palmeiras
60%
40%
Total shots
FluminenseFluminense
Palmeiras
17
15
Shots on target
Fluminense
Palmeiras
6
6