Postmatch editorial

The scoreboard moved against the market favourite

The final score was Fleetwood Town 1-0 Chesterfield. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Ched Evans   put the first mark on the match 14', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Chesterfield led Total shots 5-15, even though the scoreboard went another way. Fleetwood Town also shaded Shots on target 2-1.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Chesterfield the favourite at 40.0% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Chesterfield

40.0%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Total shots

Chesterfield

Fleetwood Town

Chesterfield

5

15

Shots on target

Fleetwood Town

Fleetwood Town

Chesterfield

2

1

Possession

Chesterfield

Fleetwood Town

Chesterfield

30%

70%