Postmatch editorial

Fleetwood Town flipped the prices on their head

The final score was Fleetwood Town 2-1 Barnet. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Zech Medley put the first mark on the match 11', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Barnet led Corners 2-4, even though the scoreboard went another way. Barnet also shaded Total shots 5-7.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Barnet the favourite at 47.4% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Barnet

47.4%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Corners

Barnet

Fleetwood Town

Barnet

2

4

Total shots

Barnet

Fleetwood Town

Barnet

5

7

Possession

Barnet

Fleetwood Town

Barnet

43%

57%