Postmatch editorial

Fiorentina made the pre-match prices look right

The final score was Fiorentina 1-0 Lazio. The median bookmaker prices were already leaning toward that outcome.

Robin Gosens put the first mark on the match 28', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Lazio led Shots on target 2-6, even though the scoreboard went another way. Lazio also shaded Possession 34%-66%.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Fiorentina the favourite at 42.7% implied probability. That market lean landed.

Market check

Market result

Fiorentina

42.7%

Hit
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

Lazio

Fiorentina

Lazio

2

6

Possession

Lazio

Fiorentina

Lazio

34%

66%

Total shots

Lazio

Fiorentina

Lazio

8

13