Postmatch editorial
The scoreboard moved against the market favourite
The final score was FC Union Berlin 1-2 VfL Wolfsburg. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.
Patrick Wimmer put the first mark on the match 11', setting the tone for the rest of the night.
The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: FC Union Berlin led Total shots 25-5, even though the scoreboard went another way. FC Union Berlin also shaded Shots on target 7-4.
Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made FC Union Berlin the favourite at 45.7% implied probability. That market lean missed.
Market check
Market result
FC Union Berlin
45.7%
Key stats
Match numbers
Total shots
FC Union BerlinFC Union Berlin
VfL Wolfsburg
25
5
Shots on target
FC Union BerlinFC Union Berlin
VfL Wolfsburg
7
4
Corners
FC Union BerlinFC Union Berlin
VfL Wolfsburg
11
4