FC Union Berlin
FC Union Berlin won after full-time.
4 - 0
FT
FC Augsburg
Postmatch editorial
FC Union Berlin found the margin in a finely priced match
The final score was FC Union Berlin 4-0 FC Augsburg. The model and the market were not perfectly aligned, but one side of that divide ended up cashing out.
The decisive turn arrived late when Woo-yeong Jeong scored 89' for FC Union Berlin.
The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: FC Union Berlin led Shots on target 9-1. FC Augsburg also shaded Corners 4-9.
Before kickoff, our model made FC Augsburg the likeliest result at 37.3%, while the median bookmaker line priced FC Augsburg at 41.7% implied. On BTTS, the model leaned Yes (53.8%), and that angle missed.
Prediction checks
Model result
FC Augsburg
37.3%
Market result
FC Augsburg
41.7%
BTTS
Yes
53.8%
Key stats
Match numbers
Shots on target
FC Union BerlinFC Union Berlin
FC Augsburg
9
1
Corners
FC AugsburgFC Union Berlin
FC Augsburg
4
9
Total shots
FC Union BerlinFC Union Berlin
FC Augsburg
17
11
Value angle
No structured value bet was flagged before kickoff, so this one closed without a dedicated price angle.