Postmatch editorial

Ferencvárosi flipped the prices on their head

The final score was FC Twente 1-2 Ferencvárosi. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

The decisive turn arrived late when Lenny Joseph scored 80' for Ferencvárosi.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: FC Twente led Shots on target 7-2, even though the scoreboard went another way. FC Twente also shaded Total shots 18-9.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made FC Twente the favourite at 65.4% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

FC Twente

65.4%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

FC Twente

FC Twente

Ferencvárosi

7

2

Total shots

FC Twente

FC Twente

Ferencvárosi

18

9

Possession

FC Twente

FC Twente

Ferencvárosi

69%

31%