Postmatch editorial

MOL Fehérvár upset the pre-match prices

The final score was FC Köln 1-2 MOL Fehérvár. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

FC Köln struck first through Florian Dietz 14', but MOL Fehérvár recovered and flipped the match.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: FC Köln led Corners 9-2, even though the scoreboard went another way. FC Köln also shaded Possession 71%-29%.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made FC Köln the favourite at 85.5% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

FC Köln

85.5%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Corners

FC Köln

FC Köln

MOL Fehérvár

9

2

Possession

FC Köln

FC Köln

MOL Fehérvár

71%

29%

Total shots

FC Köln

FC Köln

MOL Fehérvár

10

7