Postmatch editorial

The scoreboard moved against the market favourite

The final score was FC Köln 1-3 FC Heidenheim. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Jan Schöppner put the first mark on the match 8', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: FC Köln led Possession 66%-34%, even though the scoreboard went another way. FC Köln also shaded Total shots 18-11.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made FC Köln the favourite at 48.9% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

FC Köln

48.9%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Possession

FC Köln

FC Köln

FC Heidenheim

66%

34%

Total shots

FC Köln

FC Köln

FC Heidenheim

18

11

Shots on target

FC Köln

FC Köln

FC Heidenheim

7

5