FC Köln
Game ended in draw.
3 - 3
FT
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Postmatch editorial
The pre-match tension never quite broke
The final score was FC Köln 3-3 Borussia Mönchengladbach. The draw was not the loudest pre-match angle, but the game never fully escaped its balance.
The late equaliser came from Eric Martel 84', which kept the game level at the finish.
The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: FC Köln led Shots on target 5-3, even though the scoreboard went another way. FC Köln also shaded Corners 5-3.
Before kickoff, our model made FC Köln the likeliest result at 43.3%, while the median bookmaker line priced FC Köln at 43.5% implied. On BTTS, the model leaned Yes (59.5%), and that angle landed.
Prediction checks
Model result
FC Köln
43.3%
Market result
FC Köln
43.5%
BTTS
Yes
59.5%
Key stats
Match numbers
Shots on target
FC KölnFC Köln
Borussia Mönchengladbach
5
3
Corners
FC KölnFC Köln
Borussia Mönchengladbach
5
3
Total shots
FC KölnFC Köln
Borussia Mönchengladbach
12
9
Value angle
No structured value bet was flagged before kickoff, so this one closed without a dedicated price angle.