Postmatch editorial
The scoreboard moved against the market favourite
The final score was FC Heidenheim 0-2 FSV Mainz 05. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.
Phillip Tietz put the first mark on the match 7', setting the tone for the rest of the night.
The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: FSV Mainz 05 led Shots on target 5-9. FC Heidenheim also shaded Corners 6-3.
Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made FC Heidenheim the favourite at 51.8% implied probability. That market lean missed.
Market check
Market result
FC Heidenheim
51.8%
Key stats
Match numbers
Shots on target
FSV Mainz 05FC Heidenheim
FSV Mainz 05
5
9
Corners
FC HeidenheimFC Heidenheim
FSV Mainz 05
6
3
Possession
FC HeidenheimFC Heidenheim
FSV Mainz 05
53%
47%