Postmatch editorial
FC Heidenheim upset the pre-match prices
The final score was FC Heidenheim 3-1 FC Union Berlin. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.
The decisive turn arrived late when Budu Zivzivadze scored 79' for FC Heidenheim.
The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: FC Union Berlin led Total shots 7-10, even though the scoreboard went another way. FC Union Berlin also shaded Corners 3-5.
Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made FC Union Berlin the favourite at 39.1% implied probability. That market lean missed.
Market check
Market result
FC Union Berlin
39.1%
Key stats
Match numbers
Total shots
FC Union BerlinFC Heidenheim
FC Union Berlin
7
10
Corners
FC Union BerlinFC Heidenheim
FC Union Berlin
3
5
Possession
FC Union BerlinFC Heidenheim
FC Union Berlin
45%
55%