Postmatch editorial

Erzgebirge Aue upset the pre-match prices

The final score was FC Heidenheim 0-2 Erzgebirge Aue. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

The decisive turn arrived late when Ben Zolinski scored 79' for Erzgebirge Aue.

The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Erzgebirge Aue led Total shots 8-12. FC Heidenheim also shaded Possession 54%-46%.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made FC Heidenheim the favourite at 69.0% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

FC Heidenheim

69.0%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Total shots

Erzgebirge Aue

FC Heidenheim

Erzgebirge Aue

8

12

Possession

FC Heidenheim

FC Heidenheim

Erzgebirge Aue

54%

46%

Corners

Erzgebirge Aue

FC Heidenheim

Erzgebirge Aue

6

7