Postmatch editorial
FC Heidenheim made the pre-match prices look right
The final score was FC Heidenheim 5-3 Dynamo Dresden. The median bookmaker prices were already leaning toward that outcome.
Dynamo Dresden struck first through Vincent Vermeij 30', but FC Heidenheim recovered and flipped the match.
The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: FC Heidenheim led Total shots 28-17. Dynamo Dresden also shaded Possession 39%-61%.
Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made FC Heidenheim the favourite at 44.8% implied probability. That market lean landed.
Market check
Market result
FC Heidenheim
44.8%
Key stats
Match numbers
Total shots
FC HeidenheimFC Heidenheim
Dynamo Dresden
28
17
Possession
Dynamo DresdenFC Heidenheim
Dynamo Dresden
39%
61%
Shots on target
FC HeidenheimFC Heidenheim
Dynamo Dresden
10
8