Postmatch editorial
FC Groningen upset the pre-match prices
The final score was FC Groningen 2-1 NEC Nijmegen. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.
Marco Rente put the first mark on the match 45+3', setting the tone for the rest of the night.
The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: FC Groningen led Shots on target 7-3. NEC Nijmegen also shaded Corners 5-6.
Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made NEC Nijmegen the favourite at 42.0% implied probability. That market lean missed.
Market check
Market result
NEC Nijmegen
42.0%
Key stats
Match numbers
Shots on target
FC GroningenFC Groningen
NEC Nijmegen
7
3
Corners
NEC NijmegenFC Groningen
NEC Nijmegen
5
6
Total shots
NEC NijmegenFC Groningen
NEC Nijmegen
11
12