Postmatch editorial
Atlético Grau upset the pre-match prices
The final score was FC Cajamarca 1-3 Atlético Grau. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.
FC Cajamarca struck first through Brandon Palacios 20', but Atlético Grau recovered and flipped the match.
The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: FC Cajamarca led Possession 59%-41%, even though the scoreboard went another way. FC Cajamarca also shaded Total shots 20-15.
Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made FC Cajamarca the favourite at 46.5% implied probability. That market lean missed.
Market check
Market result
FC Cajamarca
46.5%
Key stats
Match numbers
Possession
FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca
Atlético Grau
59%
41%
Total shots
FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca
Atlético Grau
20
15
Shots on target
FC Cajamarca
Atlético Grau
5
5