FC Bayern München
FC Bayern München won after full-time.
4 - 1
FT
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Postmatch editorial
The script held and FC Bayern München delivered it
The final score was FC Bayern München 4-1 Borussia Mönchengladbach. The strongest pre-match signals were already leaning toward that outcome.
Luis Díaz put the first mark on the match 33', setting the tone for the rest of the night.
The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: FC Bayern München led Corners 7-1. FC Bayern München also shaded Shots on target 9-5.
Before kickoff, our model made FC Bayern München the likeliest result at 79.2%, while the median bookmaker line priced FC Bayern München at 81.6% implied. On BTTS, the model leaned No (57.4%), and that angle missed.
The model still found a small price edge on 1 at Interwetten. The market was offering 1.27 against a fair line of 1.25. That translated to an edge of 1.6% before kickoff. That ticket matched the final outcome.
Prediction checks
Model result
FC Bayern München
79.2%
Market result
FC Bayern München
81.6%
BTTS
No
57.4%
Key stats
Match numbers
Corners
FC Bayern MünchenFC Bayern München
Borussia Mönchengladbach
7
1
Shots on target
FC Bayern MünchenFC Bayern München
Borussia Mönchengladbach
9
5
Possession
FC Bayern MünchenFC Bayern München
Borussia Mönchengladbach
70%
30%
Model edge
1
Interwetten
Market odd
1.27
Fair odd
1.25
Edge
1.6%
Stake
1.88u
That ticket matched the final outcome.